League One Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Jack Aitchison 45' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie McCart 6'
  • yellowcard Callum Styles 45'+1'
  • goal John McAtee 89'

Exeter City vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Charlton 4 - 1 Exeter
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Cambridge 0 - 4 Barnsley
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Devante Cole

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result

Exeter City 28.63% (-0.02)
Draw 25.04% (-0.01)
Barnsley 46.32% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.67% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.61% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.38% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.52% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.31% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.69% (-0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 69.14% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.86% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.86% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 67.14% (+0.02)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 79.08% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 20.92% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 46.35% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 53.65% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Exeter City 28.63%
Draw 25.04%
Barnsley 46.32%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.04%
Barnsley
0-1 @ 10.1% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.29% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.9% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.84% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.61% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 46.32%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jay Stansfield 26' goal
  • Harry Kite 49' goal
  • Sam Nombe 89' goal
  • goal Bobby Thomas 37'
League One Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • goal Jay Stansfield 1'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 48'