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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Barnsley

Exeter
0 - 1
Barnsley


Aitchison (45'), Cole (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McAtee (89')
McCart (6'), Styles (45+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Barnsley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Charlton 4-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-4 Barnsley
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barnsley in this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawBarnsley
28.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)25.04% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)46.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (0.004999999999999 0)70.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.14% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)30.86% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.14% (0.012 0.01)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (0.013000000000005 0.01)20.92% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (0.016999999999996 0.02)53.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 28.63%
    Barnsley 46.32%
    Draw 25.04%
Exeter CityDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.63%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.85%
1-4 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 46.32%

Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Exeter
3-1
Barnsley
Stansfield (26'), Kite (49'), Nombe (89' pen.)
Thomas (37')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Barnsley
0-2
Exeter
Stansfield (1', 48')