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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 26.56% ( | 25.96% ( | 47.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( | 53.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.08% ( | 74.92% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.89% ( | 35.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.14% ( | 71.86% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.51% ( | 22.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( | 56.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 3-0 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 26.56% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0-2 @ 8.79% ( 1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0-4 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 47.47% |