Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.