Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
38.72% ( 2.88) | 26.14% ( -0.66) | 35.14% ( -2.22) |
Both teams to score 53.64% ( 2.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.12% ( 2.68) | 50.88% ( -2.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.24% ( 2.31) | 72.76% ( -2.31) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.27% ( 2.92) | 25.72% ( -2.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.35% ( 3.81) | 60.65% ( -3.81) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.22% ( -0.04) | 27.78% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.63% ( -0.05) | 63.36% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.48) 2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.26) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.8) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.3) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( -1.04) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.67) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |