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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 46.24% ( | 23.98% ( | 29.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( | 43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( | 65.4% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( | 18.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.81% | 50.19% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% ( | 27.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% ( | 62.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 3-0 @ 4% ( 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 46.24% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-1 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.87% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.78% |