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Championship header 2

League One

Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Derby logo

Peterborough
2 - 4
Derby

Clarke-Harris (23'), Poku (90')
Burrows (38'), Ferguson (39'), Kioso (67')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Waghorn (29', 39', 45'), Cashin (37')
Forsyth (86')
Coverage of the League One clash between Peterborough United and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawDerby County
33.55% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)27.56% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)38.89%
Both teams to score 48.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (0.00099999999999767 0)56.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28%77.72% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87%68.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6%28.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.15% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 33.55%
    Derby County 38.88%
    Draw 27.56%
Peterborough UnitedDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.94%
3-1 @ 2.86%
3-0 @ 2.27%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 33.55%
1-1 @ 13.02%
0-0 @ 9.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 11.33%
1-2 @ 8.2%
0-2 @ 7.14%
1-3 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.08%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 38.88%

Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Peterborough
2-0
Derby
Mason-Clark (52'), Ogbeta (83')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Derby
2-1
Peterborough
Knight (88'), McGoldrick (90+2')
Stearman (64')
Knight (69')
Taylor (26'), Thompson (30'), Burrows (41')
Thompson (56')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Derby
1-0
Peterborough
Sibley (90+2')
Byrne (76'), Davies (80'), Sibley (90+3'), Allsop (90+4'), Morrison (90+7')
Lawrence (47')

Coulson (31'), Brown (59'), Jade-Jones (70'), Thompson (76'), Knight (87')
Coulson (35')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Peterborough
2-1
Derby
Burrows (90+1'), Dembele (90+9')
Beevers (25'), Thompson (63'), Butler (83'), Dembele (90+9')
Stretton (77')
Sibley (90+1'), Forsyth (90+3')
> Match Report
Apr 20, 2013 3pm
Derby
3-1
Peterborough
> Match Report
rhs 2.0


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