Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm

2

4

HT : 1 4

FT Weston Homes Stadium

Darren Ferguson 0'
Jonson Clarke-Harris 23'
Harrison Burrows 38'
Darren Ferguson 39'
Peter Kioso 67'
Kwame Poku 90'

Martyn Waghorn 29'
Eiran Cashin 37'
Martyn Waghorn 39'
Martyn Waghorn 45'
Craig Forsyth 86'

Peterborough United vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

L
W
W
W
W
W

League One

L
W
W
W
L
W

Last game

Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm

Northampton 1 - 0 Peterborough

Goals scored

90

Top scorer

Ephron Mason-Clark

Derby County

All competitions

W
L
W
L
L
L

League One

W
L
W
L
L
D

Last game

Aug 19, 2023 3.00pm

Derby 1 - 0 Fleetwood

Goals scored

78

Top scorer

James Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result

Peterborough United 33.55% ▼ (-0.01)

Draw 27.56% ▼ (-0.01)

Derby County 38.89%

Both Teams to Score:

48.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.22% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 56.78% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 22.28%

Under 3.5 77.72% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 4.5 9.68%

Under 4.5 90.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 68.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 0.5 31.71% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 31.87%

Under 1.5 68.13% ▼ (-0.01)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 71.6%

Under 0.5 28.4% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 1.5 35.85% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 1.5 64.15% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 33.55%

Draw 27.56%

Derby County 38.88%

Peterborough United

1-0 @ 10.34%

2-1 @ 7.48%

2-0 @ 5.94%

3-1 @ 2.86%

3-0 @ 2.27%

3-2 @ 1.8%

Other @ 2.86%

Total : 33.55%

Draw

1-1 @ 13.02%

0-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 4.71%

Other @ 0.83%

Total : 27.56%

Derby County

0-1 @ 11.33%

1-2 @ 8.2%

0-2 @ 7.14%

1-3 @ 3.44% ▲ (+0.01)

0-3 @ 2.99%

2-3 @ 1.97%

1-4 @ 1.08%

Other @ 2.73%

Total : 38.88%

Head to Head

Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT Weston Homes Stadium

Ephron Mason-Clark 52'
Nathanael Ogbeta 83'

Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Pride Park Stadium

Richard Stearman 64'
Jason Knight 88'
David McGoldrick 90'+2'

Jack Taylor 26'
Nathan Thompson 30'
Harrison Burrows 41'
Nathan Thompson 56'
Josh Knight 69'

Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm

1

0

HT : 0 0

FT

Tom Lawrence 47'
Nathan Byrne 76'
Curtis Davies 80'
Louie Sibley 90'+2'
Louie Sibley 90'+3'
Ryan Allsop 90'+4'
Ravel Morrison 90'+7'

Hayden Coulson 31'
Hayden Coulson 35'
Reece Brown 59'
Ricky Jade-Jones 70'
Nathan Thompson 76'
Josh Knight 87'

Aug 14, 2021 12.30pm

2

1

HT : 0 0

FT Weston Homes Stadium

Mark Beevers 25'
Nathan Thompson 63'
Dan Butler 83'
Harrison Burrows 90'+1'
Siriki Dembele 90'+9'
Siriki Dembele 90'+9'

Jack Stretton 77'
Louie Sibley 90'+1'
Craig Forsyth 90'+3'

Apr 20, 2013 3.00pm

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT

John Brayford 18'
Craig Bryson 41'
Chris Martin 50'
Richard Keogh 52'
Jamie Ward 54'
Frank Fielding 62'
Paul Coutts 90'

Daniel Swanson 50'
Grant McCann 64'
Grant McCann 84'

Oct 27, 2012 3.00pm

3

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Micheal Bostwick 30'
George Boyd 35'
Micheal Bostwick 63'
Saido Berahino 86'
Saido Berahino 90'

Richard Keogh 56'
Jake Buxton 66'
Jake Buxton 70'

Form Data

Northampton 1 - 0 Peterborough

Barnsley 1 - 3 Peterborough

Peterborough 1 - 0 Charlton

Peterborough 2 - 1 Swindon

Reading 0 - 1 Peterborough

Peterborough 3 - 2 Birmingham

Derby 1 - 0 Fleetwood

Derby 1 - 2 Oxford Utd

Burton Albion 0 - 3 Derby

Derby 0 - 2 Blackpool

Derby 1 - 2 Wigan

Derby 1 - 3 Sheff Utd