/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
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Martyn Waghorn
23'
-
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
30'
-
Liam Thompson
40'
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Martyn Waghorn
55'
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Danny Mayor
39'
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Carl Johnston
69'
-
Junior Quitirna
90'+2'
Derby County vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
Result
Derby County
55.81%
▼
(-0.14)
Draw
23.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Fleetwood Town
20.68%
▲
(+0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
51.2%
▲
(+0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.05%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
48.95%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 3.5
28.96%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 3.5
71.04%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 4.5
13.96%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
86.04%
▼
(-0.09)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
82.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
17.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
52.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
47.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
61.95%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
38.04%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
25.19%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
74.81%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Derby County
55.8%
Draw
23.5%
Fleetwood Town
20.68%
Derby County
1-0
@
11.56%
▼
(-0.08)
2-0 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 55.8%
2-0 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 55.8%
Draw
1-1
@
11.17%
0-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.5%
0-0 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.5%
Fleetwood Town
0-1
@
6.39%
1-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 20.68%
1-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 20.68%