League One Gameweek 3
Derby
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Pride Park Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • James Collins 27' yellowcard
  • Max Bird 37' yellowcard
  • Conor Hourihane 42' yellowcard
  • Kane Wilson 68' yellowcard
  • Eiran Cashin 82' yellowcard
  • Martyn Waghorn 87' goal
  • goal Mark Harris 32'
  • yellowcard Sam Long 52'
  • goal Mark Harris 72'
  • yellowcard James Beadle 90'+1'

Derby County vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
Burton Albion 0 - 3 Derby
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
James Collins

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 1 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 52.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 24.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Oxford United 22.74% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 50.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 27.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 72.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 12.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.07% ▲ (+0.02)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 80.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 19.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 49.17% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 50.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 63.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 36.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 73.78% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Derby County 52.77%
Draw 24.48%
Oxford United 22.74%
Derby County
1-0 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 52.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.09% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.48%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.74%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
Mar 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The Kassam Stadium
Derby
  • Sam Long 14' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 90' goal
  • goal Louie Sibley 23'
  • goal Louie Sibley 40'
  • goal Sam Long 61' (OG)
League One Gameweek 1
Derby
Jul 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Oxford Utd
  • Conor Hourihane 47' yellowcard
  • James Collins 55' yellowcard
  • Conor Hourihane 80' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 82' yellowcard
  • Curtis Davies 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Steve Seddon 28'
  • yellowcard Marcus Browne 51'

Form Data

Burton Albion 0 - 3 Derby
Derby 0 - 2 Blackpool
Derby 1 - 2 Wigan
Derby 1 - 3 Sheff Utd
Derby 3 - 0 Stoke
Sheff Weds 1 - 0 Derby
Oxford Utd 1 - 0 Carlisle
Bristol City 5 - 1 Oxford Utd
Cambridge 2 - 0 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 5 - 0 QPR
Bristol City 4 - 1 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 1 - 0 Swansea