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Championship header 2

League One

Derby logo
League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Oxford United

Derby
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Waghorn (87')
Collins (27'), Bird (37'), Hourihane (42'), Wilson (68'), Cashin (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harris (32', 72')
Long (52'), Beadle (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Oxford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-3 Derby
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
52.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)24.49% (0.011999999999997 0.01)22.74% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.93% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)50.67% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42% (-0.023 -0.02)72.58% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)19.16% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)50.82% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.01% (0.00099999999999767 0)36.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.78% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 52.77%
    Oxford United 22.74%
    Draw 24.48%
Derby CountyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 52.77%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.09% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 7.05% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 22.74%

How you voted: Derby vs Oxford Utd

Derby County
90.5%
Draw
9.5%
Oxford United
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Oxford Utd
2-3
Derby
Long (14'), Joseph (90')
Sibley (23', 40'), Long (61' og.)
> Preview
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Derby
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hourihane (80')
Hourihane (47'), Collins (55'), Mendez-Laing (82'), Davies (90+7')

Seddon (28'), Browne (51')
rhs 2.0


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