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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 29.57% ( | 25.41% ( | 45.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.55% ( | 49.45% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.51% ( | 71.49% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( | 30.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( | 66.99% |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% ( | 21.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% ( | 55.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 2-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 3-0 @ 1.85% Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.57% | 1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 10.22% 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0-3 @ 3.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0-4 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.01% |