EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Dodgson (33'), Marsh (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Barnsley and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Barnsley
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Barnsley in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnsley.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Grimsby Town
48.32% ( 0.01)	23.72% ( -0.05)	27.95% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.64% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.06% (

0.24)

42.93% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.66% (

0.23)

65.33% (

-0.24)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.07% (

0.09)

17.93% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.26% (

0.16)

48.74% (

-0.17)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.45% (

0.14)

28.54% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.67% (

0.18)

64.33% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 48.32%

Grimsby Town 27.95%

Draw 23.71%

Barnsley	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.67% Total : 48.32%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.71%	1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.95%