Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Gillingham

Grimsby Town
2 - 0
Gillingham

Maher (11'), Holohan (27')
Amos (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Gillingham.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawGillingham
43.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)27.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)28.44% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.01% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.48% (0.020000000000003 0.02)59.52% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.13% (0.013999999999999 0.01)79.87% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)62.46%
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.1% (0.024999999999999 0.02)36.9% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.31% (0.026 0.03)73.69% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 43.64%
    Gillingham 28.44%
    Draw 27.91%
Grimsby TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5%
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 43.64%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 10% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 28.44%

Head to Head
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Gillingham
2-1
Grimsby Town
Lapslie (56'), Hawkins (87')
Holohan (75')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 21, 2009 3pm
Grimsby Town
3-0
Gillingham
Hegarty (58'), Akpa Akpro (33'), Conlon (90')
Sweeney (72')
Sep 6, 2008 3pm