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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.44% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 43.64% ( | 27.91% ( | 28.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.48% ( | 59.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.13% ( | 79.87% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( | 27.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( | 62.46% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.1% ( | 36.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.31% ( | 73.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 13.05% ( 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-1 @ 8.5% 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-1 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.88% Total : 43.64% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 10% ( 2-2 @ 4.24% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 9.96% 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 2-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.44% |