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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 27.82% ( | 26.59% ( | 45.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.97% ( | 55.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% ( | 76.3% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% ( | 34.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.28% ( | 71.72% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( | 24.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.65% ( | 58.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Mansfield Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 2-0 @ 4.65% ( 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 27.82% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 11.98% ( 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0-2 @ 8.54% ( 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0-4 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.59% |