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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
| 33.82% ( | 28.74% ( | 37.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.97% ( | 61.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.98% ( | 81.02% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.27% ( | 33.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.62% ( | 70.38% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.63% ( | 31.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% | 67.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 4.2% ( Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.74% | 0-1 @ 12.26% 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-2 @ 7.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 37.43% |