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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 34.42% ( | 25.58% | 40% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( | 48.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( | 70.65% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( | 27.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% ( | 62.46% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( | 23.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( | 58.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 2-0 @ 5.54% 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 34.42% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 9.27% ( 1-2 @ 8.65% 0-2 @ 6.62% ( 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.94% Total : 40% |