League One

League One | Gameweek 8

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Collins (86' pen.)
Fornah (26'), Collins (88'), (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bishop (90+5')
Pack (10'), Poole (28'), Robertson (65')

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Portsmouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Derby
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Portsmouth
41.23% ( 0.09)	26.69% ( 0.03)	32.08% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.29% (

-0.16)

53.71% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.8% (

-0.13)

75.2% (

0.14)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.32% (

-0.02)

25.68% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.41% (

-0.03)

60.59% (

0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86% (

-0.16)

31.15% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.53% (

-0.19)

67.48% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Derby County 41.23%

Portsmouth 32.08%

Draw 26.69%

Derby County	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.23%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 32.08%