League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
0 - 1
Northampton

Freestone (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoskins (88')
Bowie (14'), Guthrie (64')

Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Northampton Town
30.15% ( -0)	26.87%	42.98% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.86% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.97%

55.03%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.7% (

-0)

76.3% (

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

-0)

33.19% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2% (

-0)

69.79% (

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

25.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.83%

60.16%

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 30.15%

Northampton Town 42.97%

Draw 26.86%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.03% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.15%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.92% 1-3 @ 4% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.34% Total : 42.97%