Northampton Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Oxford United

Northampton
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Simpson (4' pen.)
McWilliams (32'), McGowan (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harris (15' pen., 61'), Edwards (48')
Murphy (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Northampton Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Wycombe
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawOxford United
39.23% (0.027999999999999 0.03)26.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.7% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.61% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.52%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.015000000000001 0.02)25.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (0.020000000000003 0.02)60.11% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)27.92% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)63.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.23%
    Oxford United 34.7%
    Draw 26.06%
Northampton TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Northampton vs Oxford Utd

Northampton Town
51.9%
Draw
14.8%
Oxford United
33.3%
27
Head to Head
Mar 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 24
Northampton
1-0
Oxford Utd
Hoskins (55')
Hoskins (33')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Oxford Utd
4-0
Northampton
Taylor (49', 89'), Shodipo (65'), Agyei (90+3')
Kelly (72'), Taylor (90+6')

Holmes (44')
Oct 9, 2018 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Northampton
Henry (24')
Henry (26')
Van Veen (55'), Pierre (65')
Bowditch (26'), Pierre (26'), O'Toole (26'), Facey (29'), van Veen (32')
O'Toole (90')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-0
Oxford Utd
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Northampton
Thomas (43')
Taylor (11'), Long (45')
Grimes (80'), McGugan (83'), Foley (93')