League One

League One | Gameweek 6

Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 2
Port Vale

Leigh (90+3')
Leigh (20'), Stevens (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Iacovitti (74'), Devine (90+9' pen.)
Ojo (14'), Massey (62')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Port Vale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Charlton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Crewe (2-0 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Port Vale
50% ( -0.1)	25.38% ( -0.02)	24.62% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.49% (

0.16)

52.5% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.83% (

0.14)

74.17% (

-0.14)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98% (

0.02)

21.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.2% (

0.04)

53.79% (

-0.04)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

0.19)

36.29% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

0.19)

73.07% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 50%

Port Vale 24.62%

Draw 25.37%

Oxford United	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 50%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 24.62%