League One Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Ethan Chislett 53' yellowcard
  • Ben Garrity 84' goal

Port Vale vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 1 - 2 Port Vale
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
Northampton 0 - 1 Wycombe
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result

Port Vale 39.9% (+0.01)
Draw 27.63% (+0.01)
Northampton Town 32.48% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.45% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.78% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 57.23% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 21.93% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 78.08% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 9.47% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.54% (+0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 71.96% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.04% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.31% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.7% (+0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.33% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.67% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 30.78% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.22% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Port Vale 39.89%
Draw 27.63%
Northampton Town 32.47%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 39.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.63%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 10.24%
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.47%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Aaron Martin 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Lewis 52'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 63'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 82'
League Two Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Benny Ashley-Seal 23' goal
  • Jon Guthrie 71' yellowcard
  • Aaron McGowan 73' yellowcard
  • Dylan Connolly 77' yellowcard
  • Danny Rose 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Johnson 27'
  • redcard Tom Conlon 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Martin 81'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Paul Anderson 44' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 44'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 49'
  • goal David Worrall 72'
  • yellowcard Tom Conlon 76'
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 84'
League Two Gameweek 2
Aug 10, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • David Amoo 26' goal
  • Luke Joyce 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Martin 36'
  • goal Ryan Watson 45'
  • yellowcard Charlie Goode 45'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 61'
  • yellowcard Joe Bunney 74'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 94'
League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 30, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sixfields Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
  • Sam Hoskins 5' goal
  • Sam Foley 55' yellowcard
  • Charlie Goode 75' yellowcard
  • redcard Leon Legge 42'
  • goal David Worrall 44'
  • goal Tom Pope 75'
League Two Gameweek 8
Sep 15, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Ben Whitfield 24' goal
  • Ricky Miller 49' yellowcard
  • Tom Pope 56' yellowcard
  • Manny Oyeleke 69' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 56'
  • redcard Aaron Pierre 59'
  • yellowcard Matt Crooks 81'