Port Vale
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Crewe Alexandra

Port Vale
1 - 0
Crewe

Garrity (18')
Shorrock (47'), Lowe (78'), Clark (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Booth (33'), Cooney (68')
Cooney (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Port Vale and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
Port ValeDrawCrewe Alexandra
51.47% (0.495 0.5)24.47% (-0.293 -0.29)24.06% (-0.202 -0.2)
Both teams to score 52.5% (0.69 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (1.018 1.02)49.36% (-1.018 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (0.908 0.91)71.4% (-0.90899999999999 -0.91)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.83% (0.59400000000001 0.59)19.17% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.17% (0.975 0.98)50.83% (-0.976 -0.98)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (0.378 0.38)35.06% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.19% (0.393 0.39)71.8% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 51.46%
    Crewe Alexandra 24.06%
    Draw 24.47%
Port ValeDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.094 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 51.46%
1-1 @ 11.63% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.283 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.04% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.1% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Crewe

Port Vale
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Crewe Alexandra
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Port Vale
0-0
Crewe
 Port Vale win 2-0 on penalties
Garrity (28'), Cass (54'), Iacovitti (72'), Devine (84')
Thomas (24'), Williams (29'), Powell (78'), Nevitt (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
P-P
Crewe
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crewe
0-1
Port Vale
Taylor (61')
Legge (80'), Brown (93')
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 41
Port Vale
1-0
Crewe
Pope (78')
Miller (41'), Montano (77')

Hunt (47'), Porter (74')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crewe
0-1
Port Vale

Ainley (58'), Whelan (60'), Miller (73')
Legge (75')
Miller (79')
rhs 2.0


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