Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.