League One

League One | Gameweek 5

Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
2 - 1
Reading

Aimson (34'), Cole (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Jules (44'), Cole (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Knibbs (45+3')
Azeez (24'), Mbengue (36'), Carson (56'), Abby (89')

Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Reading.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Reading
43.63% ( -0.04)	26.94% ( 0.02)	29.43% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.27% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38% (

-0.08)

55.62% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22% (

-0.06)

76.78% (

0.06)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7% (

-0.05)

25.3% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93% (

-0.07)

60.07% (

0.07)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

-0.03)

34.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.28% (

-0.03)

70.72% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 43.62%

Reading 29.43%

Draw 26.94%

Exeter City	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.62%	1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.43%