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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Stevenage |
| 29.45% ( | 27.73% ( | 42.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.53% ( | 58.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.94% ( | 79.06% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.46% ( | 35.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( | 72.3% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( | 27.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( | 62.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% 2-1 @ 6.73% ( 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-1 @ 2.32% ( 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( Other @ 2.04% Total : 29.45% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.73% | 0-1 @ 12.56% ( 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 3.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% 0-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.82% |