League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
1 - 2
Stevenage

Kachunga (80')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Roberts (27'), Reid (82')
Thompson (32'), Butler (68'), Reid (83')

Coverage of the League One clash between Cambridge United and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Cambridge
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Stevenage
28.15% ( 0.04)	27.9% ( 0.07)	43.96% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 45.88% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.4% (

-0.22)

59.59% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.07% (

-0.17)

79.93% (

0.17)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.82% (

-0.09)

37.18% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.03% (

-0.09)

73.97% (

0.09)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

-0.16)

26.96% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.71% (

-0.21)

62.29% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 28.15%

Stevenage 43.95%

Draw 27.88%

Cambridge United	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.15%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.88%	0-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.95%