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Championship header 2

League One

Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Exeter City

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Exeter


Powell (26'), Moon (59'), Seddon (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Trevitt (75')
Cole (45+3')
Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Stevenage (5-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
29.87% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)25.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.8% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 54.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)48.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)30.26% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)66.43% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (0.016000000000005 0.02)21.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02)55.06% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 29.87%
    Exeter City 44.8%
    Draw 25.32%
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 7.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 29.87%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 10.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.65% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 44.8%

Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Burton Albion
1-0
Exeter
Winnall (84')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Burton Albion
Oshilaja (63'), Keillor-Dunn (69')
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
1-0
Burton Albion
Watkins (56')
Dec 6, 2014 7.45pm
Exeter
1-1
Burton Albion
Ribeiro (87')
Blyth (60')
McCrory (93')
> Match Report
Aug 19, 2014 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-0
Exeter
Beavon (40')

Sercombe (76')