Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 60.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 19.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Manchester City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
60.63% ( -0.03)	19.91% ( 0.01)	19.46% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 61.51% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.6% (

-0)

34.4% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.68% (

-0)

56.32%

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.94% (

-0.01)

11.06% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.58% (

-0.02)

35.42% (

0.01)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

0.01)

30.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

0.02)

67.12% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 60.63%

Manchester City Under-21s 19.46%

Draw 19.91%

Barnsley	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.02% 4-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.01% Total : 60.63%	1-1 @ 8.84% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.41% 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.91%	1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 19.46%