Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Newcastle United Football Academy

Newcastle U21s
0 - 4
Man City U21s

FT(HT: 0-1)
Lawrence (17'), Okeke (74'), Dickson (81', 90+3')
Okeke (66'), Alleyne (71')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Manchester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Reading U21s 1-0 Newcastle U21s
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-2 Man City U21s (2-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
27.94% (-0.465 -0.47)20.7% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)51.35% (0.532 0.53)
Both teams to score 69.82% (-0.15100000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.68% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)28.31% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.87% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)49.13% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.292 -0.29)21.01% (0.293 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-0.458 -0.46)53.79% (0.46 0.46)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.39% (0.137 0.14)11.61% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.39% (0.294 0.29)36.6% (-0.293 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 27.94%
    Manchester City Under-21s 51.35%
    Draw 20.7%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.81% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.97% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.94%
1-1 @ 8.19% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.57% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.7%
1-2 @ 8.82% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.33% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.06% (0.075 0.07)
1-4 @ 3.41% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.66% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.19% (0.052 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.03 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
2-5 @ 1.15% (0.014 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 51.35%