Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Newcastle United Football Academy

Newcastle U21s
5 - 3
Saints U21s

Diallo (30' pen.), Parkinson (33'), McArthur (45+5'), Turner-Cook (76', 82')
Parkinson (41'), Carlyon (45'), Miley (50'), Miley (81')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Ballard (1', 6', 90+5')
Abu (23'), Bragg (36'), Carson (43'), Obling (54'), Edwards (90+13')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Southampton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-4 Newcastle U21s
Monday, April 24 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich U21s 2-5 Saints U21s
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 58.74%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
22.08% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)19.17% (-0.101 -0.1)58.74% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 68.88% (0.27500000000001 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.17% (0.389 0.39)26.83% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.73% (0.493 0.49)47.27% (-0.498 -0.5)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91% (0.172 0.17)24.09% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62% (0.247 0.25)58.37% (-0.251 -0.25)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.74% (0.15400000000001 0.15)9.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.72% (0.372 0.37)31.27% (-0.376 -0.38)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 22.08%
    Southampton Under-21s 58.74%
    Draw 19.17%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.37% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-0 @ 3.17% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 22.08%
1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.17%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 7.13% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 5.08% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.01% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 3.02% (0.043 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.98% (0.013 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.02% (0.033 0.03)
2-5 @ 1.44% (0.031 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.43% (0.028 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.42% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 58.74%

Head to Head
Jan 13, 2023 7pm
Saints U21s
4-1
Newcastle U21s
Payne (15'), Doyle (61'), Morgan (63'), Ballard (81' pen.)
Ndiweni (85')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Newcastle U21s
3-2
Saints U21s
Stephenson (4'), Westendorf (60'), White (81')
Ballard (18'), Lawrence (38')