Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 18, 2023 at 1pm UK
 

Forest U21s
3 - 1
Newcastle U21s

Larsson (5', 54'), McAdam (18')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vilca (24')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Nottingham Forest Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Saints U21s 0-2 Forest U21s
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 2-5 WBA U21s
Monday, March 6 at 3pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
48.18% (0.079000000000001 0.08)22.26% (-0.023 -0.02)29.56% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 65.14% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.1% (0.081000000000003 0.08)34.91% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.12% (0.090999999999994 0.09)56.88% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.05% (0.057000000000002 0.06)14.95% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.63% (0.108 0.11)43.37% (-0.108 -0.11)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.41% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (0.012 0.01)57.4% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 48.18%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 29.56%
    Draw 22.26%
Nottingham Forest Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.32% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.81% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.008 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.006 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 48.18%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.5% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.26%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 1.79% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 29.56%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Newcastle U21s
2-1
Forest U21s
Scott (12', 53')
Hackett-Valton (89')
Mbe Soh (71')
rhs 2.0


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