Premier League 2 - Div 2
Jan 9, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Newcastle U21s
0 - 2
Aston Villa U21s

FT(HT: 0-1)
Feeney (23'), Firth (49')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Newcastle United Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.2%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
33.38% (-0.187 -0.19)22.54% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)44.07% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 66.16% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.59% (0.125 0.13)34.4% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.14100000000001 0.14)56.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)53.78% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (0.13500000000001 0.14)16.24% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.23% (0.24299999999999 0.24)45.76% (-0.242 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United Under-21s 33.38%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 44.07%
    Draw 22.54%
Newcastle United Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.55% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.32% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.15% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 33.38%
1-1 @ 9.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.54%
1-2 @ 8.79% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.64% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.33% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.16% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.025 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.42% (0.026 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 44.07%

Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 6pm
Aston Villa U21s
1-2
Newcastle U21s
Shakpoke (45+4')
White (24'), Scott (59')
White (29')