Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.