Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21s	Draw	Sunderland Under-21s
48.69% ( -0.11)	22.29% ( 0.2)	29.03% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 64.64% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.6% (

-1)

35.41% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.57% (

-1.11)

57.44% (

1.12)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04% (

-0.4)

14.97% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.62% (

-0.77)

43.39% (

0.78)

Sunderland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.01% (

-0.55)

23.99% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.77% (

-0.79)

58.24% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United Under-21s 48.69%

Sunderland Under-21s 29.03%

Draw 22.29%

Newcastle United Under-21s	Draw	Sunderland Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.3% Total : 48.69%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.03%