Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 23, 2022 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Dylan Stephenson 4' goal
  • Isaac Westendorf 60' goal
  • Joe White 81' goal
  • goal Dominic Ballard 18'
  • goal Nico Lawrence 38'

Newcastle United Under-21s vs Southampton Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Oct 14, 2022 6.00pm
Aston Villa U21s 1 - 2 Newcastle U21s
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dylan Stephenson

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Oct 8, 2022 12.00pm
Saints U21s 2 - 0 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Newcastle United Under-21s 49.35% (+0.50)
Draw 21.83% (-0.07)
Southampton Under-21s 28.82% (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

66.22% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.74% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 33.26% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 44.97% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 55.02% (-0.02)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 86.04% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 13.96% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 58.55% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 41.45% (-0.33)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 76.96% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 23.03% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 43.15% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 56.85% (+0.38)

Score analysis

Newcastle United Under-21s 49.35%
Draw 21.83%
Southampton Under-21s 28.82%
Newcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 6.33% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.23% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.01% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.09% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 2.96% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.17% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.01% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.16% (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 49.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.3% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.83%
Southampton Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 3.34% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 28.82%