Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Southampton Under-21s had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.33%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Newcastle United Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
49.35% ( 0.49)	21.83% ( -0.06)	28.82% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 66.22% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.74% (

0.01)

33.26% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.97% (

0.01)

55.02% (

-0.01)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.04% (

0.16)

13.96% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.55% (

0.32)

41.45% (

-0.33)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

-0.26)

23.03% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.15% (

-0.38)

56.85% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United Under-21s 49.35%

Southampton Under-21s 28.82%

Draw 21.83%

Newcastle United Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.76% Total : 49.35%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.83%	1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 28.82%