Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.23%) and 0-2 (5.26%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Sunderland Under-21s
36.83% ( -0.02)	23.01% ( -0.02)	40.16% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 65.24% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.05% (

0.11)

35.95% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.96% (

0.12)

58.04% (

-0.12)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.02% (

0.04)

19.98% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.84% (

0.06)

52.16% (

-0.06)

Sunderland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

0.06)

18.46% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.34% (

0.11)

49.66% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Stoke City Under-21s 36.83%

Sunderland Under-21s 40.16%

Draw 23%

Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Sunderland Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.2% Total : 36.83%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23%	1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 40.16%