Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 17, 2022 at 7pm UK
The Impact Arena

Forest U21s
4 - 1
Stoke U21s

Taylor (8'), Konate (25', 57'), Larsson (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sparrow (38')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Nottingham Forest Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 0-1 Forest U21s
Monday, October 10 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke U21s 2-2 Norwich U21s
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
65.69% (-2.163 -2.16)18.31% (0.477 0.48)16% (1.677 1.68)
Both teams to score 60.22% (2.618 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.16% (1.353 1.35)32.84% (-1.361 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.46% (1.545 1.55)54.54% (-1.554 -1.55)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.63% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)9.37% (0.1289 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.44% (-0.31700000000001 -0.32)31.55% (0.31 0.31)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.44% (2.979 2.98)33.56% (-2.987 -2.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.8% (3.125 3.13)70.2% (-3.133 -3.13)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 65.69%
    Stoke City Under-21s 16%
    Draw 18.31%
Nottingham Forest Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.763 -0.76)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.44% (-0.597 -0.6)
3-0 @ 6.96% (-0.648 -0.65)
4-1 @ 4.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 4.15% (0.295 0.3)
4-0 @ 4.12% (-0.41 -0.41)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.161 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.13% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.95% (-0.206 -0.21)
5-2 @ 1.16% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 65.69%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.402 0.4)
0-0 @ 3.14% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.216 0.22)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.31%
1-2 @ 4.44% (0.364 0.36)
0-1 @ 3.43% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 1.87% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.248 0.25)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 16%