Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 10, 2022 at 7pm UK
 

Derby U21s
0 - 1
Forest U21s

FT(HT: 0-0)
Konate (53')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Nottingham Forest Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich U21s 2-1 Derby U21s
Friday, September 30 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Nottingham Forest Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Forest U21s 1-0 Sunderland U21s
Monday, October 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 38.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.91%) and 0-1 (4.62%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
38.54% (-0.285 -0.29)21.61% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)39.85% (0.363 0.36)
Both teams to score 71% (0.31399999999999 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.43% (0.40300000000001 0.4)28.57% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.56% (0.496 0.5)49.44% (-0.496 -0.5)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (0.060999999999993 0.06)15.99% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (0.11 0.11)45.31% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (0.313 0.31)15.48% (-0.312 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (0.58 0.58)44.36% (-0.579 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 38.54%
    Nottingham Forest Under-21s 39.85%
    Draw 21.61%
Derby County Under-21sDrawNottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.76% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.54% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
3-2 @ 4.42% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (0.012 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.26% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 38.54%
1-1 @ 8.47% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 7.24% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.75% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.48% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.050999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 4.5% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.68% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.29% (0.049 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.1% (0.049 0.05)
3-4 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 39.85%