Premier League 2 - Div 2
Sep 16, 2022 at 7pm UK
Keys Park

WBA U21s
2 - 1
Derby U21s

Faal (7'), Cleary (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haigh (70')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between West Bromwich Albion Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Bromwich Albion Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Sunderland U21s 3-3 WBA U21s
Monday, August 29 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Derby County Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 4-0 Derby U21s
Friday, August 26 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 85.9%. A draw had a probability of 9.1% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 4.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 4-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (1.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion Under-21s would win this match.

Result
West Bromwich Albion Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
85.9% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)9.14% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)4.96% (0.0791 0.08)
Both teams to score 52.75% (0.95 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.12% (0.65599999999999 0.66)20.88% (-0.663 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.66% (0.91699999999999 0.92)39.34% (-0.924 -0.92)
West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.73% (0.090000000000003 0.09)3.26% (-0.098 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.57% (0.325 0.33)14.43% (-0.332 -0.33)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.53% (0.929 0.93)45.46% (-0.935 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.69% (0.721 0.72)81.3% (-0.72800000000001 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion Under-21s 85.9%
    Derby County Under-21s 4.96%
    Draw 9.14%
West Bromwich Albion Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
3-0 @ 9.91% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-0 @ 8.69% (-0.287 -0.29)
4-0 @ 8.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 7.81% (0.018 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.85% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 6.69% (0.073 0.07)
5-0 @ 5.81% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.08% (-0.213 -0.21)
5-1 @ 4.58% (0.089 0.09)
6-0 @ 3.31% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.64% (0.096 0.1)
6-1 @ 2.61% (0.072 0.07)
5-2 @ 1.8% (0.081 0.08)
7-0 @ 1.62% (0.017 0.02)
7-1 @ 1.28% (0.046 0.05)
6-2 @ 1.03% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 4.64%
Total : 85.9%
1-1 @ 4% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 2.7% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 1.48% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 9.14%
1-2 @ 1.58% (0.018 0.02)
0-1 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 4.96%