Premier League 2 - Div 2
Sep 30, 2022 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Carrow Road
  • Abu Kamara 24' goal
  • Lewis Shipley 88' goal
  • goal Courtney Clarke 90'+7'

Norwich City Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 1.00pm
Boro U21s 1 - 3 Norwich U21s
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Abu Kamara

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Sep 16, 2022 7.00pm
WBA U21s 2 - 1 Derby U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 69.27%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 15.57% and a draw had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 4-1 (5.76%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (3.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Norwich City Under-21s 69.27% (+0.48)
Draw 15.16% (-0.19)
Derby County Under-21s 15.57% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

72.75% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 82.3% (+0.32)
Under 2.5 17.7% (-0.32)
Over 3.5 65.26% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 34.74% (-0.48)

Norwich City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 95.13% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 4.87% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 80.42% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 19.58% (-0.44)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 76.48% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 23.52% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 42.44% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 57.57% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Norwich City Under-21s 69.27%
Draw 15.16%
Derby County Under-21s 15.57%
Norwich City Under-21s
3-1 @ 7.63% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 5.76% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 5.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 4.17% (+0.04)
4-0 @ 3.98% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 3.48% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 3.46% (-0.07)
5-2 @ 2.52% (+0.05)
5-0 @ 2.41% (+0.05)
4-3 @ 2.01% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.76% (+0.06)
6-2 @ 1.27% (+0.04)
5-3 @ 1.22% (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.21% (+0.04)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 69.27%
Draw
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.06)
1-1 @ 5.01% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 1.15% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 15.16%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 1.66% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 15.57%