Premier League 2 - Div 2
Sep 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Carrow Road

Norwich U21s
2 - 1
Derby U21s

Kamara (24'), Shipley (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clarke (90+7')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Norwich City Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Boro U21s 1-3 Norwich U21s
Sunday, September 18 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: WBA U21s 2-1 Derby U21s
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City Under-21s win with a probability of 69.27%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 15.57% and a draw had a probability of 15.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 4-1 (5.76%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (3.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Norwich City Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
69.27% (0.476 0.48)15.16% (-0.183 -0.18)15.57% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 72.75% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.3% (0.31999999999999 0.32)17.7% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.26% (0.474 0.47)34.74% (-0.471 -0.47)
Norwich City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.13% (0.146 0.15)4.87% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.42% (0.435 0.44)19.58% (-0.432 -0.43)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.48% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)23.52% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.44% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)57.57% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City Under-21s 69.27%
    Derby County Under-21s 15.57%
    Draw 15.16%
Norwich City Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
3-1 @ 7.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.57% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 5.76% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
4-2 @ 4.17% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.98% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 3.48% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 3.46% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-2 @ 2.52% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.41% (0.05 0.05)
4-3 @ 2.01% (0.016 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.76% (0.051 0.05)
6-2 @ 1.27% (0.036 0.04)
5-3 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.21% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 69.27%
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-1 @ 5.01% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 1.15% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 15.16%
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 1.66% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.96% (-0.003 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 15.57%