Premier League 2 - Div 2
Nov 7, 2022 at 1pm UK
 

Leeds U21s
4 - 2
Newcastle U21s

Moore (2'), Dean (49', 51', 67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Scott (8'), Barclay (63')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Leeds United Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Crewe 0-0 Leeds U21s (2-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 1-1 Sunderland U21s
Monday, October 31 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 74.48%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 12.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.36%) and 4-1 (6.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (4.82%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
74.48% (0.158 0.16)13.45% (-0.013 -0.01)12.07% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 70.04% (-0.459 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.81% (-0.303 -0.3)17.19% (0.305 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
66.03% (-0.458 -0.46)33.97% (0.46 0.46)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)4.05% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.96% (-0.139 -0.14)17.04% (0.14 0.14)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (-0.444 -0.44)27.01% (0.447 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)62.36% (0.59 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United Under-21s 74.48%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 12.07%
    Draw 13.45%
Leeds United Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
3-1 @ 7.87% (0.037 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 6.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.62% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 5.15% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.82% (0.067 0.07)
4-2 @ 4.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 4.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.51% (0.083 0.08)
5-0 @ 3.09% (0.033 0.03)
5-2 @ 2.65% (-0.039 -0.04)
6-1 @ 2.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.8% (-0.044 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.65% (0.012 0.01)
6-2 @ 1.41% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-3 @ 1.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
7-1 @ 0.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 74.48%
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-1 @ 4.59% (0.053 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-0 @ 1.09% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 13.45%
1-2 @ 3.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 1.43% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 12.07%

rhs 2.0


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