Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.74%) and 0-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
31.88% ( 1.14)	21.57% ( -0.31)	46.54% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 69.22% (

1.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.84% (

2.17)

30.15% (

-2.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.62% (

2.57)

51.38% (

-2.57)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.24% (

1.68)

19.76% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.2% (

2.65)

51.8% (

-2.65)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.26% (

0.54)

13.73% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59% (

1.06)

41% (

-1.06)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 31.88%

Nottingham Forest Under-21s 46.54%

Draw 21.57%

Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Nottingham Forest Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.18) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.88%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.35) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.57%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.57) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.08) 3-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.13) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.54%