Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.74%) and 0-1 (5.39%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.