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Chisom Afoka
11'
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Declan Firth
63'
Derby County Under-21s vs Aston Villa Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 60.33%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.03% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Score analysis
3-2 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.42%
2-0 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 21.03%
2-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 18.64%
1-3 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.25% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 5.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
2-5 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.94%
Total : 60.33%