Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
67.36% ( -0.11)	16.6% ( 0.04)	16.04% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 67.47% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.97% (

-0.05)

24.03% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.36% (

-0.06)

43.64% (

0.07)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.28% (

-0.03)

6.72% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.14% (

-0.09)

24.87% (

0.09)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33% (

0.05)

27.67% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78% (

0.06)

63.22% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Southampton Under-21s 67.36%

Newcastle United Under-21s 16.04%

Draw 16.6%

Southampton Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.46% 6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.42% Total : 67.36%	1-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( 0) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.6%	1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 16.04%