Premier League 2 - Div 2
Jan 13, 2023 7.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Staplewood Training Ground
  • Lewis Payne 15' goal
  • Kami Doyle 61' goal
  • Jimmy Morgan 63' goal
  • Dominic Ballard 81' goal
  • goal Michael Ndiweni 85'

Southampton Under-21s vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Jan 6, 2023 7.00pm
Saints U21s 3 - 0 Derby U21s
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Jan 9, 2023 7.00pm
Newcastle U21s 0 - 2 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dylan Stephenson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.45%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Southampton Under-21s 67.36% (-0.12)
Draw 16.6% (+0.05)
Newcastle United Under-21s 16.04% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.47% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 75.97% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 24.03% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 56.36% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 43.64% (+0.07)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 93.28% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 6.72% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 75.14% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 24.87% (+0.09)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 72.33% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.67% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 36.78% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.22% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Southampton Under-21s 67.36%
Draw 16.6%
Newcastle United Under-21s 16.04%
Southampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.71% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.84% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.1% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.29% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 5.04% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.02% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.12% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.22% (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.46%
6-1 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.42%
Total : 67.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.45% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 1.86% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 16.6%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 4.14% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 16.04%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 23, 2022 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Dylan Stephenson 4' goal
  • Isaac Westendorf 60' goal
  • Joe White 81' goal
  • goal Dominic Ballard 18'
  • goal Nico Lawrence 38'