Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 61.66%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 18.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
61.66% ( 0.17)	18.22% ( -0.36)	20.12% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 69.49% (

1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.15% (

2.12)

24.85% (

-2.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.28% (

2.74)

44.72% (

-2.74)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.96% (

0.64)

8.04% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.69% (

1.59)

28.3% (

-1.59)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.57% (

1.48)

24.43% (

-1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.14% (

2.05)

58.86% (

-2.05)

Score Analysis

Southampton Under-21s 61.66%

Middlesbrough Under-21s 20.12%

Draw 18.22%

Southampton Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.48) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.55) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.23) 5-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.16) 4-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.17) 6-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.4% Total : 61.66%	1-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.63% Total : 18.22%	1-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 20.12%