Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 79.34%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
79.34% ( -0)	12.46%	8.2% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.14% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.3% (

24.7% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.48% (

44.52% (

-0)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.13%

4.87% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.41% (

-0)

19.58% (

-0)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.07% (

39.93% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.41% (

76.59% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Southampton Under-21s 79.34%

Derby County Under-21s 8.2%

Draw 12.46%

Southampton Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
3-0 @ 8.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.21% 2-1 @ 8.15% 4-0 @ 6.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.21% 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.77% 5-1 @ 3.75% 4-2 @ 2.85% 6-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.89% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 6.19% Total : 79.34%	1-1 @ 5.39% 2-2 @ 3.74% 0-0 @ 1.94% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.22% Total : 12.46%	1-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.8% Total : 8.2%