Premier League 2 - Div 2
Jan 6, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Staplewood Training Ground
  • Kami Doyle 17' goal
  • Jimmy Morgan 21' goal
  • Dominic Ballard 90'+5' goal

Southampton Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Nov 7, 2022 1.00pm
Sunderland U21s 1 - 3 Saints U21s
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Nov 7, 2022 7.00pm
Stoke U21s 4 - 0 Derby U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 79.34%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result

Southampton Under-21s 79.34% (-0.01)
Draw 12.46%
Derby County Under-21s 8.2% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.14% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 75.3% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 24.7% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 55.48% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 44.52% (-0.01)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 95.13%
Under 0.5 4.87% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 80.41% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 19.58% (-0.01)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 60.07% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 39.93% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 23.41% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.59% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Southampton Under-21s 79.34%
Draw 12.46%
Derby County Under-21s 8.2%
Southampton Under-21s
3-0 @ 8.95% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 8.21%
2-1 @ 8.15%
4-0 @ 6.76% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 6.21%
1-0 @ 5.88% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 4.09%
3-2 @ 3.77%
5-1 @ 3.75%
4-2 @ 2.85%
6-0 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.89% (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 6.19%
Total : 79.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.39%
2-2 @ 3.74%
0-0 @ 1.94%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 12.46%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 1.78% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 8.2%