Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 66.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-3 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Sunderland Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
15.52% ( 0.24)	17.55% ( 0.17)	66.92% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 62.07% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.99% (

-0.34)

30.01% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.79% (

-0.41)

51.2% (

0.41)

Sunderland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72% (

0.06)

32.28% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.22% (

0.07)

68.78% (

-0.07)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.66% (

-0.18)

8.34% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.94% (

-0.44)

29.05% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Sunderland Under-21s 15.52%

Southampton Under-21s 66.92%

Draw 17.55%

Sunderland Under-21s	Draw	Southampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 15.52%	1-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 17.55%	1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 4.83% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.4% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 2-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.76% Total : 66.92%