Premier League 2 - Div 2
Nov 7, 2022 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Weaver Stadium
  • Emre Tezgel 4' goal
  • Emre Tezgel 13' goal
  • Nathan Lowe 64' goal
  • Dara McGuinness 87' goal

Stoke City Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Oct 31, 2022 7.00pm
WBA U21s 4 - 0 Stoke U21s
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Dara McGuinness

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
Derby U21s 0 - 2 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 59.98%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 20.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 3-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Stoke City Under-21s 59.98% (-0.01)
Draw 19.41% (+0.02)
Derby County Under-21s 20.61% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.5% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.85% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 30.15% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 48.63% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 51.37% (+0.13)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 90.05% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 9.95% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 67.08% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 32.91% (+0.08)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 72.74% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 27.26% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 37.31% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 62.69% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Stoke City Under-21s 59.98%
Draw 19.41%
Derby County Under-21s 20.61%
Stoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.22% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.26% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 5.55% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 4.69% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.2% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.71% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.25% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 59.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.14% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.71% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.41%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 5.29% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.53% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 20.61%