Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 21.95% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Nottingham Forest Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
56.91% ( -0.51)	21.13% ( 0.19)	21.95% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 61.11% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.28% (

-0.47)

36.72% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.11% (

-0.52)

58.89% (

0.52)

Nottingham Forest Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.18% (

-0.3)

12.82% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.85% (

-0.62)

39.15% (

0.62)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.09% (

0.01)

29.91% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.99% (

0.02)

66.01% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest Under-21s 56.91%

Derby County Under-21s 21.95%

Draw 21.13%

Nottingham Forest Under-21s	Draw	Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.99% Total : 56.91%	1-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.99% Total : 21.95%