Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 24, 2023 7.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Darren Robinson 72' goal
  • goal Jamie Miley 30'
  • goal Amadou Diallo 44'
  • goal Lewis Miley 57'
  • goal Michael Ndiweni 63'

Derby County Under-21s vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Apr 14, 2023 7.00pm
Aston Villa U21s 3 - 0 Derby U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Apr 17, 2023 1.00pm
Newcastle U21s 4 - 3 Norwich U21s
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Dylan Stephenson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 75.18%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Derby County Under-21s 10.79% (+0.28)
Draw 14.03% (+0.21)
Newcastle United Under-21s 75.18% (-0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.93% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 75.93% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 24.07% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 56.31% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 43.69% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 36.77% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 63.23% (+0.36)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 65.47% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 34.53% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 28.75% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 71.25% (-0.25)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 94.6% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 5.4% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 78.84% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 21.16% (+0.39)

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 10.79%
Draw 14.03%
Newcastle United Under-21s 75.18%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 3.08% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 1.98% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.59% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 1.09% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 1.05% (+0.04)
Other @ 2%
Total : 10.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.79% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.49% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 1.86% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 14.03%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 8.45% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.94% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 7.73% (-0.06)
1-4 @ 6% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 5.64% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 5.44% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 4.37% (+0.03)
1-5 @ 3.5% (-0.07)
0-5 @ 3.29% (-0.09)
2-4 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.86% (-0.03)
1-6 @ 1.7% (-0.05)
0-6 @ 1.6% (-0.06)
3-4 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.12%
Total : 75.18%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 26, 2022 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Blue Flames Ground
  • Dylan Stephenson 8' goal
  • Kyle Crossley 17' goal
  • Dylan Stephenson 58' goal
  • Kyle Crossley 64' goal
  • yellowcard George Nunn 27'