Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Derby U21s
1 - 5
WBA U21s

Aghatise (58')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Faal (2', 51'), Cleary (40', 72', 86')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and West Bromwich Albion Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-3 Saints U21s
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

West Bromwich Albion Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: WBA U21s 1-2 Norwich U21s
Monday, March 20 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 69.81%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawWest Bromwich Albion Under-21s
14.46% (-0.925 -0.93)15.73% (-0.718 -0.72)69.81% (1.647 1.65)
Both teams to score 66.98% (0.571 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.95% (1.608 1.61)23.05% (-1.604 -1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.68% (2.142 2.14)42.32% (-2.137 -2.14)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.29% (0.096000000000004 0.1)28.71% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.46% (0.117 0.12)64.54% (-0.114 -0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.95% (0.681 0.68)6.05% (-0.676 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.98% (1.868 1.87)23.03% (-1.863 -1.86)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 14.46%
    West Bromwich Albion Under-21s 69.81%
    Draw 15.73%
Derby County Under-21sDrawWest Bromwich Albion Under-21s
2-1 @ 3.79% (-0.258 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-0 @ 2.17% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-1 @ 1.58% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 1.35% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 14.46%
1-1 @ 6.08% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 1.74% (-0.201 -0.2)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 15.73%
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-3 @ 7.97% (0.071000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.83% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-3 @ 6.39% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-4 @ 5.59% (0.26 0.26)
2-3 @ 4.98% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.357 -0.36)
0-4 @ 4.48% (0.198 0.2)
2-4 @ 3.49% (0.171 0.17)
1-5 @ 3.14% (0.259 0.26)
0-5 @ 2.51% (0.202 0.2)
2-5 @ 1.96% (0.166 0.17)
1-6 @ 1.47% (0.173 0.17)
3-4 @ 1.45% (0.074 0.07)
0-6 @ 1.18% (0.135 0.14)
2-6 @ 0.92% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 69.81%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
WBA U21s
2-1
Derby U21s
Faal (7'), Cleary (78')
Ingram (27')
Haigh (70')