Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 6, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sam Greenwood 15' goal
  • Joe Snowdon 25' goal
  • Sonny Perkins 81' goal

Leeds United Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Feb 24, 2023 7.00pm
Saints U21s 1 - 2 Leeds U21s
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Mateo Fernandez

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Feb 20, 2023 7.00pm
Sunderland U21s 1 - 1 Derby U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 82.84%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 6.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.03%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.

Result

Leeds United Under-21s 82.84% (+0.60)
Draw 10.31% (-0.32)
Derby County Under-21s 6.85% (-0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.99% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 81.99% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 18.01% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 64.8% (+0.96)
Under 3.5 35.2% (-0.96)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 96.82% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 3.18% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 85.86% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 14.14% (-0.63)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 63% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 37% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 26.21% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 73.79% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Leeds United Under-21s 82.84%
Draw 10.31%
Derby County Under-21s 6.85%
Leeds United Under-21s
3-0 @ 8.04% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.99% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 6.93% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 6.89% (+0.07)
5-0 @ 4.78% (+0.13)
5-1 @ 4.75% (+0.12)
1-0 @ 4.06% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 3.43% (+0.04)
6-0 @ 2.75% (+0.12)
6-1 @ 2.73% (+0.12)
5-2 @ 2.36% (+0.06)
6-2 @ 1.36% (+0.06)
7-0 @ 1.35% (+0.08)
7-1 @ 1.35% (+0.08)
4-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 5%
Total : 82.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.03% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.18% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 10.31%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 2% (-0.09)
0-1 @ 1.17% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 6.85%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 5, 2022 7.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Kris Moore 53' goal
  • Osazee Aghatise 55' goal
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 12'
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 26'
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 28'
  • yellowcard James Debayo 42'
  • goal Sonny Perkins 61'
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 69'