Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Leeds U21s
3 - 0
Derby U21s

Greenwood (15'), Snowdon (25'), Perkins (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Leeds United Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Saints U21s 1-2 Leeds U21s
Friday, February 24 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland U21s 1-1 Derby U21s
Monday, February 20 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 82.84%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 6.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.03%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
82.84% (0.59 0.59)10.31% (-0.319 -0.32)6.85% (-0.2749 -0.27)
Both teams to score 60.99% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
81.99% (0.648 0.65)18.01% (-0.65 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
64.8% (0.955 0.95)35.2% (-0.958 -0.96)
Leeds United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.82% (0.179 0.18)3.18% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.86% (0.621 0.62)14.14% (-0.623 -0.62)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)37% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21% (-0.02 -0.02)73.79% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United Under-21s 82.84%
    Derby County Under-21s 6.85%
    Draw 10.31%
Leeds United Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
3-0 @ 8.04% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.99% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-0 @ 6.93% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
4-1 @ 6.89% (0.064 0.06)
5-0 @ 4.78% (0.124 0.12)
5-1 @ 4.75% (0.12 0.12)
1-0 @ 4.06% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 3.43% (0.03 0.03)
6-0 @ 2.75% (0.115 0.12)
6-1 @ 2.73% (0.113 0.11)
5-2 @ 2.36% (0.058 0.06)
6-2 @ 1.36% (0.055 0.06)
7-0 @ 1.35% (0.077 0.08)
7-1 @ 1.35% (0.076 0.08)
4-3 @ 1.14% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 5%
Total : 82.84%
1-1 @ 4.03% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.18% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 10.31%
1-2 @ 2% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-1 @ 1.17% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 6.85%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2022 7pm
Derby U21s
2-5
Leeds U21s
Moore (53' og.), Aghatise (55')
Fernandez (12', 26', 28', 69'), Perkins (61')
Debayo (42')