Premier League 2 - Div 2

Feb 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Leeds U21s
2 - 1
Aston Villa U21s

Aaronson (42'), McGurk (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kellyman (49')

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Leeds United Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United Under-21s

All competitions

Premier League 2

Last Game: Newcastle U21s 2-2 Leeds U21s
Monday, February 13 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Goals
for

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 1-0 Stoke U21s
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-21s win with a probability of 54.69%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.47%) and 3-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United Under-21s in this match.

Result
Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
54.69% ( 0.31)	18.67% ( -0.11)	26.63% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 76.64% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

80.63% (

0.39)

19.37% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

62.81% (

0.56)

37.19% (

-0.56)

Leeds United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.18% (

0.19)

7.82% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.25% (

0.48)

27.75% (

-0.48)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14% (

0.12)

16.85% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.14% (

0.22)

46.86% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Leeds United Under-21s 54.69%

Aston Villa Under-21s 26.63%

Draw 18.67%

Leeds United Under-21s	Draw	Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 5-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 5% Total : 54.69%	2-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) 4-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.67%	1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 26.63%